Guides
Prediction Markets vs World Cup Bracket Pools: What's the Difference?
A pool locks your picks and splits a pot. A market lets you buy, sell and exit at a live price. How the two compare on cost, payout, risk and flexibility.
World Cup 2030 and international football prediction markets
Spain won the 2026 World Cup. Now: World Cup 2030, the 2027 Women's World Cup, Euro 2028 and more — dates, results and US prediction markets.
PredictionsWorldCup.com is the independent guide to international football prediction markets for US traders. Spain beat Argentina 1–0 to win the 2026 World Cup — read the full results below — and the road to the 2030 World Cup in Spain, Portugal and Morocco has begun, with the 2027 Women's World Cup in Brazil, Euro 2028 and the Nations League along the way.
Spain are the 2026 World Cup champions. Kalshi already lists a 2030 World Cup winner market; check the live price in the app. We cover the 2030 World Cup, the 2027 Women's World Cup and other international tournaments on US prediction market platforms. Availability depends on your state.
See Top Platforms How It Works
Independent guide · Affiliate-supported · Availability depends on your state
Independent educational guide. PredictionsWorldCup.com is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or connected to FIFA, the World Cup organizing body, any national football federation, or any official tournament partner. We do not sell tickets, official merchandise, or betting services. All team and player references are editorial commentary on publicly traded prediction markets.
World Cup 2026 · Final Result
Who won the World Cup 2026?
Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final on July 19, 2026, at New York/New Jersey Stadium, with an extra-time winner from Ferran Torres. England finished third. Markets have now moved on to the 2030 World Cup (June 8 – July 21, 2030, in Spain, Portugal and Morocco).
Final top four:
- Spain (champions)
- Argentina
- England
- France
Closed markets
World Cup 2026 markets: how they settled
The tournament is over and these markets have settled.
🇪🇸Outright winner
Will Spain win the World Cup 2026?
Settled Yes: Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the Final.
🇫🇷Outright winner
Will France win the World Cup 2026?
Settled No: France lost in the semifinal and then lost the third-place match to England.
🇧🇷Outright winner
Will Brazil win the World Cup 2026?
Settled No: Spain won the title.
🇦🇷Title defense
Will Argentina defend their World Cup title?
Settled No: Argentina lost the Final to Spain.
🇺🇸Group D
Will the USMNT win Group D?
This market has settled. See the full 2026 World Cup results.
🇲🇽Group A
Will Mexico win Group A?
This market has settled. See the full 2026 World Cup results.
Why use prediction markets for World Cup and international football?
Exchanges, not sportsbooks
Kalshi, Polymarket US, ProphetX and Novig are CFTC-regulated exchanges. You trade a price with other people, not a wager against a house. Sports contracts are the subject of ongoing court cases, so availability can change by state.
Price = Probability
A contract at 62¢ means the market thinks there's a 62% chance. No odds math. Fees differ by platform, so check each app's fee page. You can usually sell before the market closes.
More than one tournament
Trade the 2030 World Cup winner now, then the Women's World Cup, Euros, Nations League and AFCON as platforms list them. Every market explained, contract by contract.
Top platforms for trading football
ProphetX is our featured sports partner. The other platforms follow in order of our rating, based on football coverage, regulation, fees and welcome offers.
ProphetX
Your sports prediction market — peer-to-peer sports contracts on a CFTC-designated exchange; not offered in Nevada.
4.5
Sports Peer-to-peer Nationwide Mobile-first
Read ProphetX review Sign up at ProphetX → (opens in a new tab)
New users only. 21+. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply, and ProphetX is not available in all jurisdictions. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone — please consider carefully in light of your personal financial circumstances. See prophetx.co for full terms.
Kalshi
US-regulated (CFTC) exchange with a wide range of markets.
4.7
World Cup Sports Politics Economics Culture
Read Kalshi review Sign up at Kalshi → (opens in a new tab)
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Polymarket
Sports, politics and culture markets in US dollars.
4.7
World Cup Sports Politics Culture
Read Polymarket review Sign up at Polymarket → (opens in a new tab)
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Novig
Peer-to-peer sports exchange. CFTC-regulated, 21+.
4.4
World Cup Sports Sharp Exchange
Sleeper
Sports-first. Social-native. Built for the group chat.
4.3
Sports Social World Cup NFL NBA
Rebet
Social sweepstakes platform. 100% purchase match up to $100.
4.2
Social Sports Mobile-first World Cup
Next up
What you can trade next
The 2030 World Cup winner market is already listed. Other tournaments open closer to each event.
Tournament hubs
Promo codes (WCPREDICTS)
- ProphetX: Trade $50, Earn $75!
- Kalshi: Trade $25 and Get $25!
- Polymarket US: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!
- Novig: Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!
- Rebet: Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!
US offers for new users only; terms apply. 21+.
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Guides for the curious
- International Football Tournaments 2026–2030: Dates & Markets
- Women's World Cup 2027 in Brazil: Dates, Cities & Markets
- World Cup 2030 Prediction Markets: Hosts, Dates & Odds
- 2026 World Cup Quarterfinals — Results & Market Recap
Pick Your Platform
Pick the platform with the best football coverage
Not sure where to trade the club season? Compare the major prediction markets head-to-head on football depth, fees, and per-match liquidity.
See all comparisons- Kalshi today. Polymarket as its US relaunch matures.
- Kalshi for dedicated prediction market traders. Crypto.com if you already use it for crypto.
- Novig for sharp sports trading. Kalshi for broad coverage. Most serious traders use both.
- Kalshi for most the US traders. Sleeper if your fantasy life already runs through the app.
Frequently asked questions
Who won the World Cup 2026?
Spain. They beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final on July 19, 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium, with substitute Ferran Torres scoring the winner in extra time. England beat France 6-4 for third place. Kylian Mbappe won the Golden Boot with 10 goals, Rodri won the Golden Ball and Unai Simon won the Golden Glove.
Did prediction markets correctly predict the 2026 World Cup?
Partly. Spain traded as a co-favourite all tournament, so the champion sat inside the market's top tier — but Kalshi and Polymarket priced France as the single most likely winner going into the knockouts, and France lost the semifinal. Markets badly underpriced Norway, England and Belgium, and overpriced Brazil and Germany.
Where can I trade football predictions legally in the US?
On federally regulated event-contract exchanges such as Kalshi, Polymarket US and ProphetX, for eligible traders in eligible states (minimum age 18 on Kalshi and Polymarket US; 18 or the local age of majority if higher on ProphetX; we recommend 21+). Whether states can regulate sports event contracts is being decided in federal court, so availability can change by state. Novig, a CFTC-regulated peer-to-peer sports exchange (21+), is another option; availability depends on your state.
What football markets can I trade now the World Cup is over?
The 2030 World Cup winner is already listed on Kalshi. Markets for the 2027 Women's World Cup, the Nations League, AFCON 2027 and Euro 2028 usually open closer to each event. For club leagues such as the Premier League and La Liga, see our sister site predictionssoccer.com.
Which platform has the most football markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket US list the widest range of football markets we track, and ProphetX focuses on sports. All three are CFTC-regulated. Kalshi and Polymarket US accept traders 18+; we recommend 21+. Listings change, so check each app.
When is the next World Cup?
June 8 – July 21, 2030, hosted by Spain, Portugal and Morocco, with centenary matches in Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay on June 8–9. Kalshi lists a 2030 winner market; check the live price in the app.
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Argentina beat Switzerland 3–1 in the quarterfinal and England 2–1 in the semifinal before losing the Final 1–0 to Spain after extra time. Complete run and market recap.
ProphetX · Trade $50, Earn $75! · code WCPREDICTSClaim (opens in a new tab)
21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.