How far did the USA get in the 2026 World Cup?

The Round of 16. The USMNT won its group, beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 in the Round of 32, then lost 4–1 to Belgium on 5 July 2026. The USA did not reach the quarterfinals.

Did prediction markets get the USA right?

Broadly, yes. USA outright winner never traded above about 8¢ and resolved NO. The one consistent distortion was cross-book: Kalshi priced USA contracts 3–4¢ above Polymarket throughout, driven by US retail flow.

What football markets can US traders use now?

Kalshi and Polymarket both list 2026-27 club-season contracts: Premier League title and top four, Champions League winner, LaLiga and Serie A titles, Ballon d'Or and per-match results. Both are federally regulated and legal in all 50 US states.

Sports · 7 min read

USA at the 2026 World Cup — Full Result & Market Recap

By Catie Di StefanoPublished July 5, 2026Updated August 6, 2026

The USMNT won its group and beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0, then lost 4–1 to Belgium in the Round of 16. The completed record of the US run and how Kalshi and Polymarket priced it.

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Independent educational guide. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to FIFA or any official World Cup body.

USA at the 2026 World Cup — Full Result & Market Recap

Sources

Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

1.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rules — Kalshi
2.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooks — Kalshi
3.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolution — Polymarket
4.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange works — Polymarket
5.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standings — ESPN
6.Soccer coverage and match reports — Associated Press

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Frequently asked questions

How far did the USA get in the 2026 World Cup?: The Round of 16. The USMNT won its group, beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0 in the Round of 32, then lost 4–1 to Belgium on 5 July 2026. The USA did not reach the quarterfinals.
Did prediction markets get the USA right?: Broadly, yes. USA outright winner never traded above about 8¢ and resolved NO. The one consistent distortion was cross-book: Kalshi priced USA contracts 3–4¢ above Polymarket throughout, driven by US retail flow.
Who won the 2026 World Cup?: Spain, beating Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final on 19 July 2026.
What football markets can US traders use now?: Kalshi and Polymarket both list 2026-27 club-season contracts: Premier League title and top four, Champions League winner, LaLiga and Serie A titles, Ballon d'Or and per-match results. Both are federally regulated and legal in all 50 US states.

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