Guides
Everything you need to start trading.
Plain-English guides to event contracts, probability pricing, US legality, and where to trade what — including head-to-head Kalshi vs Polymarket and the World Cup 2026 odds hub.
Plain-English guides to event contracts, probability pricing, US tax treatment, and which platform to use for which event.
La Liga 2026-27 — Prediction Markets, Opening Matchdays & Odds
The season opened 15 August, but Barcelona and Real Madrid only complete Matchday 1 on 26 and 27 August. Here are the title prices, the World Cup 2026 names carrying them, and the La Liga contracts US traders actually use.
Updated Aug 24, 2026
Champions League 2026-27 — Prediction Markets, Draw and Matchday 1
The league phase draw is 27 August and Matchday 1 runs 8-10 September. Here are the opening title prices, the World Cup 2026 names carrying them, and the Champions League contracts US traders actually use.
Updated Aug 19, 2026
Premier League 2026-27 Opening Weekend — Prediction Markets Guide
The season starts Friday 21 August with Arsenal v Coventry. Here are the World Cup 2026 names driving the biggest club contracts, which Premier League markets have real volume, and how to trade opening weekend legally from the US.
Updated Aug 21, 2026
2026 2026 NBA Finals Prediction Markets Playbook
Game 1 of the NBA Finals is June 3. Whether the Lakers, Warriors, or neither make it through, football fans have one legal path to take a real position — federally regulated prediction markets. Here's the playbook.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Stanley Cup 2026: A US Hockey Fan's Trading Guide
The Stanley Cup is the deepest hockey market of the year. The Stanley Cup Final runs late May into June. Here's how football fans can take a position on the entire NHL postseason through prediction markets.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Prediction Markets Calendar: May–July 2026 Recap
The May-July 2026 period delivered on its promise as the densest stretch of tradable events, highlighted by Spain's World Cup victory.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Post-Tournament Review
Spain lifted the World Cup trophy on July 19, 2026, after a tournament legally traded by US fans on federally-regulated prediction markets. We review how the markets performed and what's next.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Brazil at the 2026 World Cup — Round of 16 Exit, Market Recap
Brazil lost 2–1 to Norway in the Round of 16 on 6 July after entering the knockouts priced near 15% to win the tournament. The clearest overprice of 2026.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Spain's 2026 World Cup Victory: Review & Prediction Markets
Spain, the reigning European champions, won the 2026 World Cup. We review their journey and how prediction markets tracked their chances from Group H to their triumph.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
USA at World Cup 2026: Performance, Results & Prediction Markets
The USA co-hosted the 2026 World Cup. This guide reflects on the USMNT's performance, their Round of 16 exit, and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
France at the 2026 World Cup: Fourth Place Finish & Markets
France finished fourth at the 2026 World Cup after reaching the semifinals. We look back at how prediction markets priced Les Bleus throughout their tournament journey.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Argentina's 2026 World Cup Journey: Finalists & Prediction Markets
Argentina, the defending champions, reached the 2026 World Cup final, ultimately finishing as runners-up. We review their performance and how prediction markets priced their deep run.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
England at World Cup 2026: Third Place Finish & Market Analysis
England concluded their 2026 World Cup campaign with a strong third-place finish. We review their performance, how markets reacted, and lessons for traders.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Germany at World Cup 2026: Group E & Prediction Market Review
Germany exited the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32, losing to Paraguay. We review how prediction markets priced Die Mannschaft before and during the tournament.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Portugal at the 2026 World Cup: Group K, Results & Markets
Portugal reached the Round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup, where they were eliminated by Spain. This guide looks back at Portugal's journey and how prediction markets priced their prospects.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Netherlands at the 2026 World Cup: Group F, Outcomes & Markets
The Netherlands qualified for the 2026 World Cup and exited in the Round of 32. Here's how US prediction markets priced Oranje from Group F up until their elimination.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Mexico at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage, Knockouts & Prediction Markets
Mexico co-hosted the 2026 World Cup, opened the tournament at Estadio Azteca, and reached the Round of 16. We revisit how prediction markets priced El Tri's journey.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Canada at the 2026 World Cup: Group B, Toronto, Vancouver & Markets
Canada co-hosted the 2026 World Cup, reaching the Round of 16. We review how prediction markets tracked Les Rouges' journey and performance on home soil.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Italy at World Cup 2026: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Market Review
Italy exited the 2026 World Cup in the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced their chances before and during the tournament, and what their performance reveals.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Belgium at the 2026 World Cup: Quarterfinals Exit & Prediction Market Review
Belgium reached the Quarterfinals of the 2026 World Cup. This guide reviews how prediction markets priced their journey and exit, and key lessons for future trading.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Croatia at the 2026 World Cup: Group L & Tournament Journey
Croatia's 2026 World Cup journey concluded in the Round of 32. This guide recaps their performance and how prediction markets priced their prospects.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Morocco at the 2026 World Cup: Quarterfinals Run & Prediction Markets
Morocco — the Atlas Lions — made a significant run in the 2026 World Cup, advancing to the Quarterfinals. This guide revisits how US prediction markets priced Morocco's journey through the tournament.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Uruguay at the 2026 World Cup: Group H, Markets & Analysis
Uruguay exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced La Celeste's prospects from the group stage through July 19.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Japan at the 2026 World Cup: Performance and Prediction Markets
Japan exited the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32 after a 2–1 loss to Brazil. We review their tournament journey and how prediction markets priced their chances.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Colombia's 2026 World Cup Performance: Group Stage and Knockouts
Colombia competed in the 2026 World Cup, successfully advancing from Group K before being eliminated in the Round of 16. We review their journey and how prediction markets priced their performance.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Senegal at the 2026 World Cup: Group, Performance & Markets
Senegal qualified for the 2026 World Cup and exited in the Round of 32 after a 3-2 loss to Belgium. This guide reviews their performance.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Switzerland at the 2026 World Cup: Quarterfinals Exit
Switzerland reached the Quarterfinals of the 2026 World Cup, where they were eliminated by Argentina. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets previously priced their chances.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Denmark at World Cup 2026: Group Stage Exit & Market Recap
Denmark's World Cup 2026 journey ended in the group stage. We review their performance and how prediction markets priced their campaign.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Austria at the 2026 World Cup: Review and Market Analysis
Austria competed at the World Cup 2026, reaching the Round of 32. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets priced their chances.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Türkiye at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Market Review
Türkiye exited the 2026 World Cup at the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced their performance and what lessons can be learned from their tournament run.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Ecuador at World Cup 2026: Group E Performance & Prediction Market Review
Ecuador qualified for the 2026 World Cup and reached the Round of 32. Here's how US prediction markets priced their journey and performance through the tournament.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Norway at World Cup 2026: Quarterfinals Run & Prediction Market Review
Norway reached the Quarterfinals at the 2026 World Cup. This guide reviews their surprising run, key results, and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Australia's 2026 World Cup Performance: Results & Prediction Market Review
Australia reached the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup, losing to Egypt on penalties. We look back at how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
South Korea at World Cup 2026: Performance, Markets & Group A
South Korea completed their 2026 World Cup campaign on June 23, 2026, exiting at the group stage. This guide examines their performance and what lessons can be drawn from their tournament run.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Open Your First Prediction Market Account: A Beginner's Guide for 2026
You've heard about prediction markets. You want to try them. You don't know where to start. This is the complete walk-through, from picking your first platform to placing your first trade, written for readers who have never touched an event contract.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
What Is Rebet? A US Trader's 2026 Guide
Rebet is a social-first prediction market built for traders who want to share positions, discuss markets, and trade alongside friends. Here's what it does well, who it's for, and whether a US trader should open an account.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
What Is Chalkboard? A US Trader's 2026 Guide
Chalkboard is a prediction market built almost entirely around player props — LeBron's points, Steph's threes, Mahomes' passing yards. Here's what it does, who it's for, and whether a US trader should add it to their account rotation.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
What Is Sleeper? A US Trader's 2026 Guide
Sleeper started as a fantasy platform and built federally-regulated event contracts on top of an existing sports community. Here's what makes it different, who it's for, and whether a US trader should add an account.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
What Is Novig? A US Trader's 2026 Guide
Novig is a peer-to-peer sports exchange built for traders who've been limited or banned by sportsbooks. No house, no winner limits, tight pricing set by other traders. Here's what it offers and whether a US trader should use it.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What's the Difference?
Prediction markets and sportsbooks look similar from a distance — both let you take a position on an outcome. But they are different products, under different regulators, with different economics. Here's the full breakdown.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How event contracts work
Price equals probability. A contract at 40¢ means the market thinks there's a 40% chance. Here's the full mechanic, with a Lakers walk-through.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Best Platforms for Football (Soccer) Fans
Where Kalshi, Polymarket, Sleeper and the rest stack up for World Cup 2026 traders — match outrights, group stage advancement, golden boot props, and live in-match liquidity.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Reading probability prices: a 5-minute primer
Why a price in cents is already a probability — and why you'll never want to convert odds again.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Super Bowl prediction markets: a US trader's guide
From Chiefs futures to MVP markets to halftime show props. Where to trade the biggest game of the year.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Prediction Market Taxes in the US: What Traders Owe
How federal tax treatment, 1099 forms, and state income tax stack on Kalshi and Polymarket gains. A practical primer for US traders.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: Full 2026 Cost Breakdown
Polymarket has no per-trade fees. Kalshi charges roughly $0.07 per round trip. But the all-in cost picture is different — here's the side-by-side that actually matters.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Deposit on Polymarket: Step-by-Step (2026)
Funding a Polymarket account from a US bank or debit card, end to end. KYC, USDC mechanics, settlement times, and what to do if a deposit hangs.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How to Withdraw from Kalshi: 2026 Step-by-Step Guide
ACH withdrawals on Kalshi are free and settle in 1–3 business days. Here's the full process, including bank verification, daily limits, and tax forms.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Arbitrage Between Kalshi and Polymarket: A Realistic Guide
The same contract trades on both platforms. Sometimes the prices diverge. Here's how prediction market arbitrage actually works — and why it's harder than it looks.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
NFL Sunday Prediction Markets: Fan's Full Guide
US sportsbook coverage is uneven. But every Sunday, Kalshi, Sleeper, and Chalkboard run hundreds of NFL contracts — all federally legal. Here's the full guide.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
The CFTC's 2026 Prediction Markets Advisory, Explained for US Traders
On March 12, 2026, the CFTC published the most consequential piece of paper for prediction markets in two years. Combined with the February withdrawal of the 2024 sports-contract ban, it locks the federal door open for US traders. Here's what's in it.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Launching Perpetual Futures — Here's What That Actually Means
On April 22, 2026, Marketplace reported both major US prediction markets are preparing to offer perpetual futures — a leveraged, no-expiration derivative that until now has only existed offshore. Here's what they are, why now, and whether you should care.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
NBA Conference Semifinals 2026: Where to Trade Thunder-Lakers and the Rest of the Bracket
Thunder-Lakers, Spurs-Wolves, Knicks-76ers, Pistons-Cavaliers. Four series, sixteen possible games, and the deepest two-week stretch of NBA prediction-market liquidity of the year. Here's what's tradable, where, and at what price.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Eurovision 2026 Prediction Markets: Why Finland Is the $49M Favorite
Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner market has $49M in volume — Finland leads at 35%, France at 13%, Denmark at 11%. This is fully tradable from the US ahead of the May 16 final in Vienna.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: LA Matches & Prediction Markets Reviewed
SoFi Stadium successfully hosted eight fixtures of the World Cup 2026, making Inglewood a central hub for North American soccer for a five-week period that concluded on July 19, 2026.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
USA vs Mexico at the 2026 World Cup: A Post-Tournament Market Review
The USMNT and El Tri, both co-hosts, were heavily traded on US prediction markets during the 2026 World Cup. This article reviews how their pricing reflected the 'home-crowd tax' and how far each team progressed.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
World Cup 2026 Favorites: Kalshi and Polymarket Post-Tournament Review
The 2026 World Cup has concluded with Spain as champions. We look back at how prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket priced the teams and how market sentiment evolved.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
2026 World Cup Quarterfinals — Results & Market Recap
Spain, France, England and Argentina advanced on 9–11 July. All four scores, how each advance contract was priced, and what happened in the semifinals and Final.
Updated Aug 5, 2026USA at the 2026 World Cup — Full Result & Market Recap
The USMNT won its group and beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2–0, then lost 4–1 to Belgium in the Round of 16. The completed record of the US run and how Kalshi and Polymarket priced it.
Updated Aug 6, 2026Who Won the 2026 World Cup? Spain — Full Result & Market Scorecard
Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time to win the 2026 World Cup. The full result, every award winner, and an honest scorecard of what Kalshi and Polymarket got right and wrong.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Morocco at the 2026 World Cup — Quarterfinal Run, Full Result
Morocco knocked out the Netherlands on penalties, beat Canada 3–0, then lost 2–0 to France in the quarterfinal. The tournament's most consistently underpriced team.
Updated Aug 5, 2026France at the 2026 World Cup — Fourth Place, Full Result
France beat Morocco 2–0 in the quarterfinal, then lost 2–0 to Spain in the semifinal and 6–4 to England in the third-place match. Why the tournament favourite was mispriced.
Updated Aug 6, 2026Argentina at the 2026 World Cup — Runners-Up, Full Result
Argentina beat Switzerland 3–1 in the quarterfinal and England 2–1 in the semifinal before losing the Final 1–0 to Spain after extra time. Complete run and market recap.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Spain at the 2026 World Cup — Champions, Full Result
Spain beat Belgium 2–1 in the quarterfinal, France 2–0 in the semifinal and Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final. The outright contract that turned out to be the board's best value.
Updated Aug 5, 20262026 World Cup Semifinals — Results & Market Recap
Spain beat France 2–0 in Dallas and Argentina beat England 2–1 in Atlanta on 14–15 July. Full scores and how the reach-final market performed.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How to Use Kalshi: Step-by-Step From Signup to First Trade
Kalshi is the largest federally-regulated event-contract exchange and it's legal for US traders. This walkthrough covers signup, KYC, funding, your first trade, and withdrawal — the path most US traders follow in under fifteen minutes.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
What Are Event Contracts? A Plain-English Guide
Event contracts are federally-regulated financial instruments that pay $1 if a real-world event happens and $0 if it doesn't. They're not bets, not stocks, and not options — and they're legal in the US. Here's how they actually work.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
World Cup 2026 Golden Boot: the talisman's Historic Win & Market Analysis
the talisman made history by winning his second consecutive Golden Boot. We analyze how prediction markets tracked the top scorer race.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
World Cup 2026 Group Stage Prediction Markets Review
A post-tournament analysis of World Cup 2026 group stage prediction markets and the trading edges that played out.
Updated Aug 7, 2026World Cup 2026 Knockout Bracket: Results & Review
The 2026 World Cup concluded with Spain winning the title. Explore the full knockout bracket results, from the Round of 32 shocks to the final match, and how prediction markets reacted.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
2026 World Cup Host Nations: USA, Canada, Mexico Final Runs
The 2026 World Cup concluded on July 19, 2026. We look back at how the co-hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico performed and what their runs taught us about prediction markets.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Morocco, Norway, Paraguay's Runs
The 2026 World Cup saw Morocco, Norway, and Paraguay make surprising runs into the quarterfinals, challenging the favorites before their eventual eliminations. This article looks back at their performances and market reactions.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Kalshi vs Polymarket for World Cup 2026: Post-Tournament Review
A retrospective comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket's performance during the 2026 World Cup, analyzing outrights, group stage, knockout, player props, and more.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Trade the World Cup on Kalshi: A Post-Tournament Review
We look back at how traders navigated Kalshi's prediction markets during the 2026 World Cup, from account setup to managing positions.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How to Trade the World Cup on Polymarket: A Retrospective
Looking back at Polymarket's role in the 2026 World Cup, from funding to final market resolutions.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group A at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group A finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Mexico, South Africa), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group B at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group B finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Switzerland), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group C at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group C finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Brazil, Morocco), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group D at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group D finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Australia, Paraguay, USA), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group E at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group E finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group F at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group F finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Japan, Netherlands, Sweden), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group G at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group G finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Belgium, Egypt), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group H at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group H finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Cape Verde, Spain), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group I at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group I finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (France, Norway, Senegal), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group J at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group J finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Algeria, Argentina, Austria), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group K at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group K finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Group L at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard
How Group L finished at the 2026 World Cup, who advanced (Croatia, England, Ghana), and how accurately Kalshi and Polymarket priced the group before kickoff.
Updated Aug 7, 2026World Cup 2026 Weekly Movers: Final Market Shifts (July 11–19)
An archive of the final week's market movements for World Cup 2026 outright winner contracts, reflecting how prediction markets reacted to the final stages of the tournament.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How California Traded on the 2026 World Cup: Post-Tournament Guide
The 2026 World Cup has concluded. While California lacked legal online sportsbooks, residents legally traded on tournament outcomes using federally regulated event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
World Cup 2026 Texas: How to Bet (Kalshi, Polymarket)
Texas did not have legal online sportsbooks for the 2026 World Cup. Federally regulated event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket were the only legal route for Texans to engage.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Bet on World Cup 2026 in Florida: Hard Rock vs Kalshi vs Polymarket
Florida's 2026 World Cup betting landscape featured Hard Rock Bet as the sole legal sportsbook, alongside federally-regulated event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket. Here's how each platform performed.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
World Cup 2026 Group of Death: Post-Tournament Analysis
Which groups proved to be the toughest at the 2026 World Cup? We analyze the pre-tournament 'groups of death' identified by prediction markets and how their teams actually performed.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Ireland at World Cup 2026: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Markets
Ireland exited the 2026 World Cup in the group stage. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets reacted to their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
South Africa at World Cup 2026: Results, Markets & Performance
South Africa participated in the World Cup 2026, reaching the Round of 32. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Qatar at the 2026 World Cup: Group B & Prediction Markets Review
Qatar exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage. This guide reviews how prediction markets priced Qatar's tournament run and draws lessons from their performance.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Wales World Cup 2026 Review: Group Stage Exit & Market Analysis
Wales exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced The Dragons from qualification through their tournament finish.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Scotland at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Markets
Scotland exited the 2026 World Cup in the group stage. This guide reviews how prediction markets priced their journey through the tournament.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Haiti at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Markets
Haiti exited the 2026 World Cup in the Group Stage. This guide recaps their performance and how prediction markets priced Les Grenadiers.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Paraguay at World Cup 2026: Their Journey & Prediction Market Insights
Paraguay's 2026 World Cup campaign saw them reach the Round of 16. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Egypt at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage and Knockout Run
Egypt's 2026 World Cup journey concluded in the Round of 16. We review how prediction markets priced The Pharaohs' performance from the group stage through their knockout exit.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Iran at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Prediction Market Review
Iran exited the 2026 World Cup in the Group Stage. This guide reviews their performance, how prediction markets priced Team Melli, and trading insights.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
New Zealand at the 2026 World Cup: Group G Performance & Markets
New Zealand participated in the 2026 World Cup, drawn into Group G. Here's a recap of their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Saudi Arabia at the 2026 World Cup: Group H, Results & Markets
Saudi Arabia participated in the 2026 World Cup, exiting in the group stage. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets priced their chances.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Cape Verde at the 2026 World Cup: How far did they go?
Cape Verde made their World Cup debut at the 2026 tournament. This guide reviews how far they went and how prediction markets traded their journey.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Algeria at World Cup 2026: Tournament Review & Prediction Markets
Algeria exited the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32 after a 2-0 loss to Switzerland. This guide reviews their tournament performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Jordan at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Market Analysis
Jordan made their World Cup debut in 2026, exiting in the group stage. We review their performance and how prediction markets priced their chances.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Uzbekistan at the 2026 World Cup: Group K, Results & Markets
Uzbekistan made their first-ever World Cup appearance at the 2026 tournament. Here's how far they went and how US prediction markets priced their chances.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Congo DR at the 2026 World Cup: Group K & Performance Recap
Congo DR participated in the 2026 World Cup as a Group K contender. This guide recaps their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Jamaica World Cup 2026: Performance & Prediction Markets Review
Jamaica qualified for the 2026 World Cup but exited in the group stage. This guide reviews their performance and what prediction markets implied for their chances.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Ghana at the 2026 World Cup: Group L & Prediction Markets Review
Ghana exited the 2026 World Cup in the Round of 32 after a 1-0 loss to Colombia. This guide reviews their performance and how prediction markets reacted to their journey.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Panama at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Markets
Panama participated in the 2026 World Cup, exiting at the group stage. We review their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Poland at the 2026 World Cup: Review of Group F & Prediction Markets
Poland competed in the 2026 World Cup, exiting in the Group Stage. We review their performance and how prediction markets priced their journey.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup: Review & Market Performance
Tunisia competed in the World Cup 2026, exiting at the group stage. This guide reviews their tournament journey and how prediction markets priced their performance.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
World Cup 2026 Fan Fests & Watch Parties: A Look Back
The 2026 World Cup concluded on July 19, 2026. Here's a look back at the official Fan Festivals and satellite watch parties across North America that brought the tournament to millions.
Updated Aug 5, 2026Prediction-market basics
How do prediction markets work?
- You buy a yes-or-no contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. The price (e.g. 62¢) reflects the market's estimate of the probability. Sell anytime before the event resolves to lock in profit or limit loss.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
- Yes — through federally-regulated venues. They're not classified as sports betting under US law because they're federally-regulated commodities derivatives.
How are winnings taxed in the US?
- As ordinary income at both the federal and state level. Platforms issue 1099s above reporting thresholds. Track every trade for cost basis.
Where should I start?
- Open a Kalshi account, fund $20–$50, and trade two or three small markets you actually have an opinion on. Read our event-contracts guide before you place your first trade.