Who won the 2026 World Cup?
- Spain. They beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final on July 19, 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium, with Ferran Torres scoring in the 106th minute. It is Spain's second World Cup title, after 2010.
Who won the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot?
- the talisman of France, with 10 goals in 8 matches — the first player ever to win the World Cup Golden Boot twice, after topping the charts in 2022.
Did prediction markets predict the right 2026 World Cup winner?
- Partly. Spain traded as a co-favorite throughout, so the champion sat inside the market's top tier, but Kalshi and Polymarket both priced France as the single most likely winner going into the knockout rounds at roughly 22% — and France lost the semifinal to Spain.
Which teams did the markets get most wrong?
- Brazil and Germany were the biggest overprices — Germany went out on penalties to Paraguay in the Round of 32 and Brazil lost to Norway in the Round of 16. Norway, England and Belgium were the biggest underprices, all outrunning their implied probabilities by a wide margin.
Where can I trade football contracts now the World Cup is over?
- Kalshi and Polymarket both list 2026-27 club-season contracts: Premier League title and top four, Champions League winner, La Liga and Serie A titles, Ballon d'Or, and per-match results. Both are federally-regulated event-contract platforms legal in all 50 U.S. states under federal commodities law.
