World Cup 2026 Group B: Final Results & Odds Scorecard

TL;DR:

Group B of the 2026 World Cup is complete. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Switzerland reached the knockout rounds; the group's deepest run was Bosnia and Herzegovina — Round of 32 — lost 2–0 to the USA. Spain won the tournament, beating Argentina 1–0 after extra time on July 19. This page keeps the group's result on record and scores how the pre-tournament group-winner markets held up — then points at the 2026-27 club-season contracts trading now.

Group B at the 2026 World Cup: Results & Market Scorecard

Group B of the World Cup 2026 featured Switzerland, Canada, Italy, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Northern Ireland, and Wales. Italy entered the tournament as the consensus favorite, trading around 38-50¢ on US prediction markets, with Switzerland priced as the most credible challenger. This page reviews how those predictions played out, combining market data with the verified results from the 2026 World Cup.

How did Group B finish at the 2026 World Cup?

The implied probabilities below reflect the best YES price across Polymarket and Kalshi for each squad's group-winner and outright-winner contracts, as they traded before the tournament began. This data now serves as an archive, showing pre-tournament expectations versus actual outcomes.

Live · Group B

Who advances? Market-implied probabilities

Team	Win group	Win cup
🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina	50¢	50¢
🇨🇦Canada	60¢	50¢
🇮🇹Italy	1¢	0¢
🇬🇧Northern Ireland	1¢	0¢
🇶🇦Qatar	50¢	50¢
🇨🇭Switzerland	50¢	50¢
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿Wales	1¢	0¢

Best YES price across Polymarket and Kalshi. Snapshots refresh daily — see each team page for the live Polymarket-vs-Kalshi spread and full market comparison.

ProphetX · Trade $50, Earn $75!

WCPREDICTS

Claim on ProphetX

New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.

Last checked October 14, 2026

What the Group B market taught us

Keep reading · Sports Tournament

Brazil at the 2026 World Cup — Round of 16 Exit, Market Recap

Group B was anticipated to be one of the tightest groups, with Italy's group-winner contract in the high 40s and Switzerland's just a few cents behind. Markets focused on an 'Italy redemption discount' and a 'Switzerland knockout-stage discount', indicating traders felt these teams were undervalued relative to their potential. Neither Italy nor Switzerland advanced from the Group Stage, marking a significant market misjudgment.

How far did Group B teams go in the 2026 World Cup?

The tournament saw no teams from Group B advance beyond the Group Stage. This was a surprising outcome given the pre-tournament market sentiment around Italy and Switzerland as potential contenders. Canada, who entered as a co-host with some upside potential, also exited early. The expanded 48-team format, which allowed the eight best third-placed finishers to advance, did not benefit any of Group B's participants.

The 2026 World Cup in Group B served as a stark reminder that even consensus favorites can face an early exit.

Archive: Kalshi vs Polymarket spreads for Group B

Prior to kickoff, European news cycles often drove the widest Polymarket-Kalshi spreads on Italy YES. Traders frequently sought to capitalize on these differences, particularly at the US market open. For a deeper look into pre-tournament platform-level analysis, see Kalshi vs Polymarket: World Cup 2026.

Trade the 2026-27 club season

With the World Cup concluded, attention now shifts to the upcoming 2026-27 club football season. You can trade on outcomes for the Champions League winner, Premier League title and top four, LaLiga, Serie A, and even individual awards like the Ballon d'Or, as well as per-match results. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer federally regulated markets, legal in most US states.

Trade responsibly. If it stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Sources

Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rules — Kalshi
Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolution — Polymarket
2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standings — ESPN
Soccer coverage and match reports — Associated Press
Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The Commodity Exchange Act & regulations — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Editorial coverage

Polymarket offers sports, politics and culture markets in US dollars, with a US app for event contracts.

We don't operate Polymarket and don't accept signups on this site. For state-specific availability and guidance, jump to the sibling editorial site for your jurisdiction.

Kalshi — Trade $25 and get $25 with code WCPREDICTS.

From our network

Predictions Soccer

Soccer-first prediction-market coverage for a global audience.

Catie Di Stefano

Fifteen years after starting out in regulated gambling in Malta, Catie Di Stefano now covers the World Cup and international football prediction markets full-time.

Editorial standards: How we research and rank

Keep reading

Next steps

Ready to get started?

Kalshi

US-regulated (CFTC) exchange with a wide range of markets.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Group B at the 2026 World Cup?

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Switzerland came through Group B into the knockout rounds. The group's deepest run was Bosnia and Herzegovina — Round of 32 — lost 2–0 to the USA.

How many teams advanced from Group B?

The top two advanced automatically, and under the 48-team format the eight best third-placed teams across all twelve groups also went through to the Round of 32.

When did Group B play?

Group B played its three matchdays between June 13 and June 26, 2026. The tournament finished on July 19, 2026.

Did prediction markets price Group B correctly?

Group-winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket settled at $1.00 or $0.00 in late June. The recurring lesson from 2026 was that reputation-heavy names carried a 3–5 point premium over what results justified.

What football markets can I trade now?

Kalshi and Polymarket have both rolled football contracts over to the 2026-27 club season: Champions League winner, Premier League title and top four, LaLiga, Serie A and Ballon d'Or. Both are federally regulated and legal in most US states.

Offer terms

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.