Sports · 11 min read

    Italy at World Cup 2026: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Market Review

    By Catie Di StefanoPublished May 21, 2026Updated August 5, 2026

    Italy exited the 2026 World Cup in the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced their chances before and during the tournament, and what their performance reveals.

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    Independent educational guide. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to FIFA or any official World Cup body.

    Italy at World Cup 2026: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Market Review

    Sources

    Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

    1. 1.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rulesKalshi
    2. 2.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooksKalshi
    3. 3.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolutionPolymarket
    4. 4.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange worksPolymarket
    5. 5.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standingsESPN
    6. 6.Soccer coverage and match reportsAssociated Press

    Frequently asked questions

    How far did Italy go at the 2026 World Cup?

    Italy exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage. This marked a significant disappointment, especially after their successful qualification ended a 12-year streak of missing major tournaments.

    Which group was Italy in for the World Cup 2026?

    Italy was in Group B for the World Cup 2026. Group B matches were played between June 13 and June 26, 2026.

    Where did Italy play their group-stage matches?

    Italy's three group-stage fixtures were played across United States venues. These included matches in Philadelphia and Boston, chosen for their strong Italian-American communities.

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