Sports · 11 min read

    Uruguay at the 2026 World Cup: Group H, Markets & Analysis

    By Catie Di StefanoPublished May 21, 2026Updated August 6, 2026

    Uruguay exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage. We review how prediction markets priced La Celeste's prospects from the group stage through July 19.

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    Uruguay at the 2026 World Cup: Group H, Markets & Analysis

    Sources

    Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

    1. 1.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rulesKalshi
    2. 2.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooksKalshi
    3. 3.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolutionPolymarket
    4. 4.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange worksPolymarket
    5. 5.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standingsESPN
    6. 6.Soccer coverage and match reportsAssociated Press

    Frequently asked questions

    Did Uruguay qualify for the 2026 World Cup?

    Yes, Uruguay qualified for the World Cup 2026 after a comfortable CONMEBOL campaign. It was Uruguay's 15th World Cup appearance.

    How far did Uruguay go at the 2026 World Cup?

    Uruguay exited the World Cup 2026 in the group stage, failing to advance from Group H.

    What group was Uruguay in for World Cup 2026?

    Uruguay was drawn into Group H at the December 2025 final draw. Group H played its matchdays between June 13 and June 26, 2026.

    Where did Uruguay play their World Cup 2026 matches?

    Uruguay's three group-stage fixtures were split across United States venues, including Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta and Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

    How did prediction markets price Uruguay's chances at the 2026 World Cup?

    Before the tournament, Uruguay traded in the mid-single digits for title probability on prediction markets, placing them among the top-ten contenders. For group stage markets, Uruguay's XI traded in the 48-60¢ range to secure Group A before the tournament.

    Which platform was sharper on Uruguay's World Cup 2026 markets?

    Polymarket often led in reflecting South American news regarding Uruguay, with the Uruguayan press filing within hours of CONMEBOL matchdays. Kalshi would typically catch up within 30-60 minutes once US markets opened.

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