Sports · 13 min read

    USA at World Cup 2026: Performance, Results & Prediction Markets

    By Catie Di StefanoPublished May 21, 2026Updated August 5, 2026

    The USA co-hosted the 2026 World Cup. This guide reflects on the USMNT's performance, their Round of 16 exit, and how prediction markets priced their journey.

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    Independent educational guide. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to FIFA or any official World Cup body.

    USA at World Cup 2026: Performance, Results & Prediction Markets

    Sources

    Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

    1. 1.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rulesKalshi
    2. 2.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooksKalshi
    3. 3.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolutionPolymarket
    4. 4.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange worksPolymarket
    5. 5.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standingsESPN
    6. 6.Soccer coverage and match reportsAssociated Press

    Frequently asked questions

    How far did the USA go at the 2026 World Cup?

    The United States reached the Round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup, where they lost 4–1 to Belgium on July 5, 2026. This marked the end of their tournament campaign.

    What group was the USA in for the World Cup 2026?

    The USMNT was drawn into Group D at the December 2026 final draw in Washington, D.C., as a Pot 1 seed. They successfully advanced from their group before their Round of 16 exit.

    Where was the World Cup 2026 held in the USA?

    The 2026 World Cup was held at 11 US venues across 11 metropolitan areas, with the final on July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. 78 of the 104 total tournament fixtures were played in the United States.

    Did the USA make it out of the group at World Cup 2026?

    Yes, the USMNT successfully advanced from Group D. Prediction markets had priced the 'USA to advance from group' contract in the 60-75¢ range before the tournament.

    What were USMNT's odds to win the World Cup 2026?

    On US prediction markets, the USMNT traded in the low single digits as a percentage probability to win the tournament before kickoff. They were outside the top-eight favorites, but their price included a meaningful host-country premium.

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