Sports · 11 min read

    Australia's 2026 World Cup Performance: Results & Prediction Market Review

    By Catie Di StefanoPublished May 21, 2026Updated August 7, 2026

    Australia reached the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup, losing to Egypt on penalties. We look back at how prediction markets priced their journey.

    Some links on this page are affiliate links — we may earn a commission if you sign up, at no cost to you. How we make money.

    Independent educational guide. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to FIFA or any official World Cup body.

    Australia's 2026 World Cup Performance: Results & Prediction Market Review

    Sources

    Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

    1. 1.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rulesKalshi
    2. 2.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooksKalshi
    3. 3.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolutionPolymarket
    4. 4.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange worksPolymarket
    5. 5.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standingsESPN
    6. 6.Soccer coverage and match reportsAssociated Press

    Frequently asked questions

    Did Australia qualify for the 2026 World Cup?

    Yes. Australia qualified for the World Cup 2026, topping AFC qualifying with a clean record, building on their 2022 Round of 16 run. It was Australia's 7th World Cup appearance.

    How far did Australia go at the 2026 World Cup?

    Australia reached the Round of 32 at the World Cup 2026. They were eliminated after losing 4-2 on penalties to Egypt, following a 1-1 draw in regulation time.

    What group was Australia in for World Cup 2026?

    Australia was in Group D for the World Cup 2026. Group D matchdays ran between June 13 and June 26, 2026.

    Where did Australia play their World Cup 2026 matches?

    Australia's three group-stage fixtures were played across host venues in the US, Mexico, and Canada, as per the tournament schedule.

    How did prediction markets price Australia's chances before the tournament?

    Before the tournament, Australia's contract for a title win traded in the low single digits, placing them outside the top twenty teams on prediction market boards. Their odds to top Group D hovered in the 22-32¢ range.

    Next steps

    Ready to get started?

    Kalshi

    The regulatory leader.

    Sign up at Kalshi →

    Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.