Haiti at the 2026 World Cup: Group Stage Exit & Prediction Markets
Haiti exited the 2026 World Cup in the Group Stage. This guide recaps their performance and how prediction markets priced Les Grenadiers.
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TL;DR:
Haiti qualified for the World Cup 2026 and were drawn into Group C, but exited in the Group Stage. Prediction markets priced Les Grenadiers in the low single digits as title probability and showed typical CONCACAF-side premiums. Market movements for Haiti were often influenced by their key striker's form and CONCACAF Nations League results.
Sources
Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.
- Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rules — Kalshi
- Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolution — Polymarket
- 2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standings — ESPN
- Soccer coverage and match reports — Associated Press
- Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- The Commodity Exchange Act & regulations — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
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Last checked October 14, 2026
About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Fifteen years after starting out in regulated gambling in Malta, Catie Di Stefano now covers the World Cup and international football prediction markets full-time.
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Frequently asked questions
Did Haiti qualify for the 2026 World Cup?
Yes. Haiti qualified for the World Cup 2026 after they won the CONCACAF playoff path, marking their third World Cup appearance.
How far did Haiti go at the 2026 World Cup?
Haiti exited the 2026 World Cup in the Group Stage after being drawn into Group C.
What group was Haiti in for World Cup 2026?
Haiti was drawn into Group C for the World Cup 2026. Group C matches were played between June 13 and June 26, 2026.
Where did Haiti play their World Cup 2026 matches?
Haiti's three group-stage fixtures were played across host venues in the US, Mexico, and Canada, including matches at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami and NRG Stadium in Houston.
How were Haiti's chances to win the World Cup 2026 priced on prediction markets?
Before the tournament, Haiti consistently traded in the low single digits as a title probability on US prediction markets, remaining outside the top forty teams. Markets often faded Haiti's reach-knockout contracts by 1-2¢ relative to model-implied probability.
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