Legal

US legal framework for prediction markets, CFTC regulation, and what's allowed under federal commodities law.

Updated

Sources

Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.

  1. Customer advisories and investor protection notices — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
  2. Problem gambling help and self-assessment tools — National Council on Problem Gambling
  3. Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
  4. The Commodity Exchange Act & regulations — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Frequently asked questions

Why are prediction markets legal when sports betting is not?

Event contracts are regulated federally as derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act, a separate framework from state gambling licensing.

Do state gambling bans apply?

Federally-designated contract markets operate under federal law. Some states have challenged specific sports contracts, so eligibility can change — check the venue's state list.

Are winnings taxable?

Yes. Gains are reportable income. Treatment can differ from gambling winnings, so keep statements and speak to a tax professional about your situation.