Category · Guide
Guide prediction markets.
Step-by-step guides for new and experienced US prediction-market traders.
World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Post-Tournament Review
Spain lifted the World Cup trophy on July 19, 2026, after a tournament legally traded by US fans on federally-regulated prediction markets. We review how the markets performed and what's next.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Prediction Market Taxes in the US: What Traders Owe
How federal tax treatment, 1099 forms, and state income tax stack on Kalshi and Polymarket gains. A practical primer for US traders.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: Full 2026 Cost Breakdown
Polymarket has no per-trade fees. Kalshi charges roughly $0.07 per round trip. But the all-in cost picture is different — here's the side-by-side that actually matters.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Deposit on Polymarket: Step-by-Step (2026)
Funding a Polymarket account from a US bank or debit card, end to end. KYC, USDC mechanics, settlement times, and what to do if a deposit hangs.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How to Withdraw from Kalshi: 2026 Step-by-Step Guide
ACH withdrawals on Kalshi are free and settle in 1–3 business days. Here's the full process, including bank verification, daily limits, and tax forms.
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Arbitrage Between Kalshi and Polymarket: A Realistic Guide
The same contract trades on both platforms. Sometimes the prices diverge. Here's how prediction market arbitrage actually works — and why it's harder than it looks.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
Kalshi vs Polymarket for World Cup 2026: Post-Tournament Review
A retrospective comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket's performance during the 2026 World Cup, analyzing outrights, group stage, knockout, player props, and more.
Updated Aug 5, 2026
How to Trade the World Cup on Kalshi: A Post-Tournament Review
We look back at how traders navigated Kalshi's prediction markets during the 2026 World Cup, from account setup to managing positions.
Updated Aug 6, 2026
How to Trade the World Cup on Polymarket: A Retrospective
Looking back at Polymarket's role in the 2026 World Cup, from funding to final market resolutions.
Updated Aug 7, 2026Frequently asked questions
What do I need to open an account?
- A US address, government ID for identity verification, and a funding method — usually ACH or debit. Most approvals complete in under ten minutes.
What should my first trade look like?
- Small, in a liquid market you already follow, held through settlement so you can see the full lifecycle including fees.
What are the real costs?
- Per-contract fees plus the bid-ask spread, and on some venues a percentage of profit. On thin markets the spread usually costs more than the fee.
Sources
Every figure on this page is checked against primary sources — regulator filings, exchange documentation and official results. Prices and rules change; verify with the operator before trading.
- 1.Customer advisories and investor protection notices — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- 2.Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- 3.The Commodity Exchange Act & regulations — U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission