2026 世界杯 · 最终赛果
西班牙赢得 2026 世界杯。以下是完整赛果。
在 2026 年 7 月 19 日的决赛中,西班牙加时赛 1–0 战胜阿根廷,费兰·托雷斯第 106 分钟破门。以下为完整淘汰赛对阵表、全部比分、个人奖项,以及 Kalshi 与 Polymarket 定价的客观复盘。
今日变动
2026年世界杯冠军市场最大波动
Final result · 19 July 2026
Spain won the 2026 World Cup
Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final at New York/New Jersey Stadium, with substitute a Spain substitute scoring in the 106th minute. It is Spain's second World Cup, sixteen years after 2010, and it ended Argentina's reign as champions. England finished third, beating France 6–4 in the bronze final.
- Golden Ball (best player)
- Spain's midfield anchor
- Spain
- Golden Boot (top scorer)
- the France talisman
- France
- Golden Glove (best goalkeeper)
- Spain's goalkeeper
- Spain
- Best Young Player
- Spain's teenage defender
- Spain
How the knockout rounds finished
Every result below is final. The upsets that broke the most brackets: Paraguay knocked Germany out on penalties, Morocco did the same to the Netherlands, and Norway beat Brazil 2–1 before falling to England.
Round of 16
Paraguay 0–1 France
Canada 0–3 Morocco
Portugal 0–1 Spain
Dallas Stadium
USA 1–4 Belgium
Brazil 1–2 Norway
Mexico 2–3 England
Argentina 3–2 Egypt
Switzerland 0–0 Colombia
Switzerland won 4–3 on penalties
Quarterfinals
France 2–0 Morocco
Spain 2–1 Belgium
Los Angeles Stadium
Norway 1–2 England
Argentina 3–1 Switzerland
Semifinals
France 0–2 Spain
Dallas Stadium
England 1–2 Argentina
Atlanta Stadium · Fernández 85', Martínez 90+2'
Third place & Final
France 4–6 England
Miami Stadium
Spain 1–0 Argentina
AET · a Spain substitute 106' · New York/New Jersey Stadium
Results compiled from public match reports (ESPN, BBC Sport, Reuters). PredictionsWorldCup.com is an independent educational guide with no affiliation to, endorsement by, or connection with any football governing body, federation, or official tournament organiser.
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2026 世界杯复盘与指南
2026年世界杯四分之一决赛——赛果与市场回顾
西班牙、法国、英格兰和阿根廷于7月9日至11日晋级。所有四场比赛的比分，每份晋级合约的定价，以及半决赛和决赛中发生的情况。
更新于 2026年8月5日
谁赢得了 2026 世界杯?西班牙 — 完整赛果与市场复盘
西班牙加时 1–0 战胜阿根廷赢得 2026 世界杯。完整赛果、全部个人奖项,以及 Kalshi 与 Polymarket 定价对错的客观复盘。
更新于 2026年8月7日
2026年世界杯上的美国队——完整赛果与市场回顾
美国国家男子足球队（USMNT）在小组赛中出线，以2-0击败波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那，随后在16强赛中以1-4负于比利时。本文回顾了美国队的完整赛程以及Kalshi和Polymarket对其表现的定价。
更新于 2026年8月6日2026年世界杯热门：Kalshi和Polymarket如何定价市场
西班牙、法国、英格兰、阿根廷和巴西在Kalshi和Polymarket上的隐含概率总和约为60%——这是十年来世界杯周期中最低迷的顶部。以下是完整的名单、跨平台的价差以及美国交易者可以在哪里找到价值。
更新于 2026年8月7日2026年世界杯淘汰赛对阵：结果与回顾
2026年世界杯以西班牙夺冠告终。探索从32强淘汰赛的爆冷到决赛的完整淘汰赛结果，以及预测市场对此的反应。
更新于 2026年8月5日
2026年世界杯黑马：摩洛哥、挪威、巴拉圭的历程
2026年世界杯上，摩洛哥、挪威和巴拉圭出人意料地闯入四分之一决赛，在最终被淘汰之前挑战了热门球队。本文回顾了他们的表现和市场反应。
更新于 2026年8月7日
SoFi Stadium 2026年世界杯：洛杉矶的8场比赛及追踪这些比赛的市场
SoFi Stadium将举办八场2026年世界杯比赛，其中包括一场7月4日的16强赛。对于足球迷来说，这些是今年夏天八大最重大的合法预测市场赛事——以下是赛程、市场以及如何交易每场比赛。
更新于 2026年8月5日
2026年世界杯：USA对阵Mexico——赛后市场回顾
USMNT和墨西哥队，作为共同主办国，在2026年世界杯期间成为美国预测市场上的热门交易对象。本文回顾了他们的定价如何反映“主场优势税”以及两队各自的晋级情况。
更新于 2026年8月6日2026年世界杯预测市场：球迷指南
2026年世界杯于6月11日至7月19日举行，比赛将在LA的SoFi Stadium进行。美国体育博彩的覆盖范围不均匀，但预测市场受联邦监管，所有美国交易者都可以参与。以下是如何进行交易。
更新于 2026年8月5日How the tournament was scheduled
The group stage ran Jun 11 – Jun 27 and the knockout rounds followed through the Final on Sunday July 19, 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium. Each stage opened a fresh wave of contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket — prices moved fastest in the 48 hours before each cluster's first kickoff, which is the pattern to watch again in the club season.
| Stage | Dates | Market note |
|---|---|---|
| Opening match — Mexico hosts | Thu Jun 11, 2026 | Mexico's opener at Estadio Azteca. Carries the largest host-opener premium of the tournament. |
| Group stage — matchday 1 | Jun 11 – Jun 17 | All 48 teams play their first match. Per-match three-way contracts open on Kalshi and Polymarket. |
| Group stage — matchday 2 | Jun 18 – Jun 22 | First elimination scenarios become tradeable. Group-winner contracts reprice fastest here. |
| Group stage — matchday 3 | Jun 23 – Jun 27 | Simultaneous kickoffs in each group. Third-place advancement math fully tradeable. |
| Round of 32 | Jun 28 – Jul 3 | New 48-team-format round. Group winners face third-placed teams from other groups. |
| Round of 16 | Jul 4 – Jul 7 | Bracket geometry becomes critical. Quarterfinal-implied contracts widen. |
| Quarterfinals | Jul 9 – Jul 11 | Eight teams remain. Outright-winner volume peaks for the second time after matchday 1. |
| Semifinals | Jul 14 – Jul 15 | MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford) and AT&T Stadium (Arlington) are the candidate venues. |
| Third-place match | Sat Jul 18 | Lower-liquidity market but a clean contrarian spot — losing semifinalists often misprice. |
| FINAL — MetLife Stadium | Sun Jul 19, 2026 | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ. Largest single-event prediction-market volume of the year. |
16 Host Cities
The World Cup 2026 was hosted across three countries and 16 cities — 11 in the United States, 2 in Canada, and 3 in Mexico. Every knockout round from the quarterfinals onward, including the Final, was played in the United States.
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ · United States
cap. 82,500
8 group + R32 + R16 + Final
AT&T Stadium
Arlington, TX · United States
cap. 80,000
9 group + R32 + R16 + semifinal candidate
SoFi Stadium
Los Angeles (Inglewood), CA · United States
cap. 70,240
8 group + R32
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, GA · United States
cap. 71,000
8 group + R16 + semifinal candidate
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, FL · United States
cap. 65,326
7 group + quarterfinal
Levi's Stadium
Santa Clara (Bay Area), CA · United States
cap. 68,500
6 group + R32
NRG Stadium
Houston, TX · United States
cap. 72,220
7 group + R16
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, PA · United States
cap. 69,796
6 group + R16
Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City, MO · United States
cap. 76,416
6 group + quarterfinal
Lumen Field
Seattle, WA · United States
cap. 68,740
6 group + R32
Gillette Stadium
Foxborough (Boston), MA · United States
cap. 65,878
7 group + quarterfinal
BMO Field
Toronto, ON · Canada
cap. 45,736
6 group
BC Place
Vancouver, BC · Canada
cap. 54,500
7 group + R32
Estadio Azteca
Mexico City, CDMX · Mexico
cap. 83,264
5 group + R32 — hosts opening match Jun 11
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey, NL · Mexico
cap. 53,500
4 group + R32
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara, JAL · Mexico
cap. 49,850
4 group
2026 世界杯赛果常见问题
谁赢得了 2026 世界杯?
西班牙。2026 年 7 月 19 日,他们在纽约/新泽西体育场的决赛中加时 1–0 战胜阿根廷,费兰·托雷斯第 106 分钟破门。这是西班牙第二次夺得世界杯。
世界杯结束后,我可以在哪里交易足球预测市场?
Kalshi 和 Polymarket 都上线了俱乐部赛季合约 — 英超冠军与前四、欧冠冠军、金球奖以及单场比赛结果。两个平台均受联邦监管,面向 21 岁以上的全美用户开放。
足球预测市场在美国合法吗?
合法。受联邦监管的事件合约平台可将足球结果作为二元金融衍生品上线,依据联邦商品法在全美合法 — 它们不是州牌照体育博彩公司。
美国队在 2026 世界杯表现如何?
东道主打进 16 强:32 强战 2–0 击败波黑,随后 1–4 不敌比利时出局。
下一届世界杯在什么时候?
2030 年世界杯由摩洛哥、葡萄牙和西班牙主办,并在乌拉圭、阿根廷和巴拉圭举行百年纪念赛。相关市场尚未上线。
Who won the 2026 World Cup?
Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating defending champions Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the Final on Sunday July 19, 2026 at New York/New Jersey Stadium. a Spain substitute scored the only goal in the 106th minute. It is Spain's second World Cup title, after 2010.
What was the score in the 2026 World Cup final?
Spain 1–0 Argentina, after extra time. Substitute a Spain substitute scored in the 106th minute. Spain had 20 attempts at goal to Argentina's 2 and 60% possession; Argentina finished the match with six yellow cards and a red.
Who won the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot?
the France talisman of France, with 10 goals in 8 matches. He became the first player ever to win the World Cup Golden Boot twice, after topping the scoring charts at Qatar 2022 with eight.
Who won the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball?
Spain's midfield anchor won the adidas Golden Ball as the tournament's best player. Spain swept the individual awards: Spain's goalkeeper took the Golden Glove with seven clean sheets, and 19-year-old Spain's teenage defender was named Best Young Player.
Who came third at the 2026 World Cup?
England, who beat France 6–4 in the third-place match in Miami on July 18, 2026 — the highest-scoring bronze final in World Cup history.
Which teams reached the 2026 World Cup semifinals?
Spain, Argentina, England and France. Spain beat France 2–0 in Dallas and Argentina came from behind to beat England 2–1 in Atlanta, with an Argentina midfielder (85') and an Argentina forward (90+2') scoring late.
What were the biggest upsets at the 2026 World Cup?
Paraguay knocked Germany out on penalties in the Round of 32, Morocco eliminated the Netherlands on penalties in the same round, and Norway beat Brazil 2–1 in the Round of 16 before losing to England in the quarterfinals. Host nation USA went out 4–1 to Belgium in the Round of 16.
Did prediction markets correctly predict the 2026 World Cup winner?
Partly. Spain traded as a co-favourite throughout, so the champion was inside the market's top tier — but Kalshi and Polymarket priced France as the single most likely winner going into the knockout rounds, and France lost the semifinal. Markets also badly underpriced Norway, England and Belgium, and overpriced Brazil.
Where is the next World Cup after 2026?
The 2030 World Cup is hosted across Morocco, Portugal and Spain, with three centenary matches in Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay. Outright winner markets for 2030 are not yet listed on Kalshi or Polymarket; club-season markets are where World Cup 2026 players trade now.
资料来源
本页所有数据均对照一手资料核实：监管机构文件、交易平台官方文档与官方赛果。价格与规则会变动，交易前请再次向平台确认。
- 1.2026 men's World Cup fixtures, results and standings — ESPN
- 2.Soccer news and tournament reporting — Reuters
- 3.Kalshi Help Center — fees, funding and account rules — Kalshi
- 4.Kalshi market listings and contract rulebooks — Kalshi
- 5.Polymarket documentation — markets, fees and resolution — Polymarket
- 6.Polymarket Learn — how the exchange works — Polymarket